GRE Argument 19重新选题
写作题目
收起Two years ago, radio station WCQP in Rockville decided to increase the number of call-in advice programs that it broadcast; since that time, its share of the radio audience in the Rockville listening area has increased significantly. Given WCQP's recent success with call-in advice programming, and citing a nationwide survey indicating that many radio listeners are quite interested in such programs, the station manager of KICK in Medway recommends that KICK include more call-in advice programs in an attempt to gain a larger audience share in its listening area.
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation and the argument on which it is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
答题辅导
收起两年前,R地区的WCQP电台决定增加在其广播节目的电话参与节目。此后,其在R地区的听众覆盖率急剧增加。鉴于WCQP这种措施的成功,同时也根据一项全国范围的调查显示很多的观众比较喜欢这样的电话参与节目,M地区的Kick电台的经理建议Kick也应该增加类似的电话参与节目以来扩大在其地区的听众占有率。
2. 本题逻辑错误分析
a) W站的风靡与其新加入的节目未必有因果关系。也许是W站新引进的一位明星主播使得其受到更多关注;或者是W站其他的节目受到热捧和欢迎等。
b) 文中未说明该调查的样本数量、组成、选取方式和提问方式等,因此调查结果未必可信。即使调查样本没有问题,全国性的调查结论也未必适用于M地。也许M地的观众偏偏不喜欢这种节目。
c) 即使R地电台的成功是由于节目的调整,两年前的成功经验未必适用于现在的M地。1)也许两年时间内,R地观众的口味也已有所变化。2)即使该节目如今在R地仍受欢迎,也没有证据表明适用于M地。比如M地的观众品味高,不喜欢此类做秀的节目。